SYS 7075 - Bayesian Forecast-Decision Theory

Presents the Bayesian theory of forecasting and decision making; judgmental and statistical forecasting, deterministic and probabilistic forecasting, post-processors of forecasts; sufficient comparisons of forecasters, verification of forecasts, combining forecasts; optimal and suboptimal decision procedures using forecasts including static decision models, sequential decision models, stopping-control models; economic value of forecasts; communication of forecasts; and the design and evaluation of a total forecast-decision system. Prerequisite: SYS 6005, 6014, or equivalent.

Credits: 3